Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 84°F at Central Park on August 5, 2026, aligning precisely with the 84-85°F market bin at near-100% implied probability. This outcome matches long-term August climatology for the region, where the normal high sits at 85°F under typical mid-summer atmospheric conditions without significant heat advection or blocking patterns. Post-event station data from LaGuardia and other NYC sites show consistent readings near this threshold, with no model revisions or measurement adjustments anticipated. Rare late corrections to archived reports remain the only plausible scenario that could shift resolution, though historical precedent indicates such changes are minimal.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 5?
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$76,652 Обс.
$76,652 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$76,652 Обс.
$76,652 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
71°F or below
$9,455 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$265 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$986 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,580 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,539 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,934 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$14,855 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$12,681 Обс.
100%
86-87°F
$9,572 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$5,712 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$8,073 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 84°F at Central Park on August 5, 2026, aligning precisely with the 84-85°F market bin at near-100% implied probability. This outcome matches long-term August climatology for the region, where the normal high sits at 85°F under typical mid-summer atmospheric conditions without significant heat advection or blocking patterns. Post-event station data from LaGuardia and other NYC sites show consistent readings near this threshold, with no model revisions or measurement adjustments anticipated. Rare late corrections to archived reports remain the only plausible scenario that could shift resolution, though historical precedent indicates such changes are minimal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$76,652Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 84°F at Central Park on August 5, 2026, aligning precisely with the 84-85°F market bin at near-100% implied probability. This outcome matches long-term August climatology for the region, where the normal high sits at 85°F under typical mid-summer atmospheric conditions without significant heat advection or blocking patterns. Post-event station data from LaGuardia and other NYC sites show consistent readings near this threshold, with no model revisions or measurement adjustments anticipated. Rare late corrections to archived reports remain the only plausible scenario that could shift resolution, though historical precedent indicates such changes are minimal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$76,652Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 84°F at Central Park on August 5, 2026, aligning precisely with the 84-85°F market bin at near-100% implied probability. This outcome matches long-term August climatology for the region, where the normal high sits at 85°F under typical mid-summer atmospheric conditions without significant heat advection or blocking patterns. Post-event station data from LaGuardia and other NYC sites show consistent readings near this threshold, with no model revisions or measurement adjustments anticipated. Rare late corrections to archived reports remain the only plausible scenario that could shift resolution, though historical precedent indicates such changes are minimal.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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