Forecast models for Mexico City on August 4 project a daytime maximum near 27°C, driven by typical early-August conditions in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico, where subsidence and partial cloud cover moderate peaks during the rainy season. Recent runs from sources such as the Met Office indicate a 27°C high with overnight lows around 17°C, while climatological baselines place August averages at 24–25°C; convective activity and humidity often cap extremes below 28°C. Trader positioning at 53.5% for 27°C and 28% for 26°C reflects this consensus, tempered by model spread on exact cloud timing and any late-day showers that could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated official observations from CONAGUA and regional stations will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
27°C 54%
26°C 26%
28°C 19%
25°C 1.9%
$12,417 Обс.
$12,417 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
26%
27°C
54%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 54%
26°C 26%
28°C 19%
25°C 1.9%
$12,417 Обс.
$12,417 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
$347 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$427 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$543 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$609 Обс.
1%
24°C
$834 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$2,155 Обс.
2%
26°C
$1,807 Обс.
26%
27°C
$3,319 Обс.
54%
28°C
$1,330 Обс.
19%
29°C
$855 Обс.
1%
30°C or higher
$193 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Mexico City on August 4 project a daytime maximum near 27°C, driven by typical early-August conditions in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico, where subsidence and partial cloud cover moderate peaks during the rainy season. Recent runs from sources such as the Met Office indicate a 27°C high with overnight lows around 17°C, while climatological baselines place August averages at 24–25°C; convective activity and humidity often cap extremes below 28°C. Trader positioning at 53.5% for 27°C and 28% for 26°C reflects this consensus, tempered by model spread on exact cloud timing and any late-day showers that could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated official observations from CONAGUA and regional stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,417Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Mexico City on August 4 project a daytime maximum near 27°C, driven by typical early-August conditions in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico, where subsidence and partial cloud cover moderate peaks during the rainy season. Recent runs from sources such as the Met Office indicate a 27°C high with overnight lows around 17°C, while climatological baselines place August averages at 24–25°C; convective activity and humidity often cap extremes below 28°C. Trader positioning at 53.5% for 27°C and 28% for 26°C reflects this consensus, tempered by model spread on exact cloud timing and any late-day showers that could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated official observations from CONAGUA and regional stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,417Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Mexico City on August 4 project a daytime maximum near 27°C, driven by typical early-August conditions in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico, where subsidence and partial cloud cover moderate peaks during the rainy season. Recent runs from sources such as the Met Office indicate a 27°C high with overnight lows around 17°C, while climatological baselines place August averages at 24–25°C; convective activity and humidity often cap extremes below 28°C. Trader positioning at 53.5% for 27°C and 28% for 26°C reflects this consensus, tempered by model spread on exact cloud timing and any late-day showers that could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Updated official observations from CONAGUA and regional stations will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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