**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 4?
34°C or below 34%
36°C 29%
35°C 28%
37°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
34°C or below
34%
35°C
28%
36°C
29%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 34%
36°C 29%
35°C 28%
37°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
34°C or below
$307 Обс.
34%
35°C
$262 Обс.
28%
36°C
$322 Обс.
29%
37°C
$179 Обс.
7%
38°C
$287 Обс.
3%
39°C
$166 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$103 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$156 Обс.
<1%
42°C
$146 Обс.
<1%
43°C
$146 Обс.
<1%
44°C or higher
$146 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,217Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,217Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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