Current forecasts from meteorological models for Madrid on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited cloud cover or moisture in central Spain during peak summer. Madrid’s urban heat island effect and continental climate amplify daytime peaks, with historical August averages around 32–35°C but frequent excursions above 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent model consensus and early observational data support the market-implied probabilities favoring 38°C (61.5%) over 39°C (31.5%), while lower or higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in wind or humidity. Updated short-range forecasts and official station readings will determine the precise recorded high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 1?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 1?
38°C 64%
39°C 31%
40°C 4.5%
37°C 3%
НОВЕ
$30,433 Обс.
НОВЕ
$30,433 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
64%
39°C
31%
40°C
5%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 64%
39°C 31%
40°C 4.5%
37°C 3%
НОВЕ
$30,433 Обс.
НОВЕ
$30,433 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
34°C or below
$494 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$1,207 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$530 Обс.
1%
37°C
$10,273 Обс.
3%
38°C
$6,004 Обс.
64%
39°C
$5,213 Обс.
31%
40°C
$3,893 Обс.
5%
41°C
$1,183 Обс.
<1%
42°C
$827 Обс.
<1%
43°C
$378 Обс.
<1%
44°C or higher
$430 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models for Madrid on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited cloud cover or moisture in central Spain during peak summer. Madrid’s urban heat island effect and continental climate amplify daytime peaks, with historical August averages around 32–35°C but frequent excursions above 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent model consensus and early observational data support the market-implied probabilities favoring 38°C (61.5%) over 39°C (31.5%), while lower or higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in wind or humidity. Updated short-range forecasts and official station readings will determine the precise recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,433Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models for Madrid on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited cloud cover or moisture in central Spain during peak summer. Madrid’s urban heat island effect and continental climate amplify daytime peaks, with historical August averages around 32–35°C but frequent excursions above 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent model consensus and early observational data support the market-implied probabilities favoring 38°C (61.5%) over 39°C (31.5%), while lower or higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in wind or humidity. Updated short-range forecasts and official station readings will determine the precise recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$30,433Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models for Madrid on August 1, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 38°C, driven by persistent high-pressure systems promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and limited cloud cover or moisture in central Spain during peak summer. Madrid’s urban heat island effect and continental climate amplify daytime peaks, with historical August averages around 32–35°C but frequent excursions above 37°C under similar synoptic patterns. Recent model consensus and early observational data support the market-implied probabilities favoring 38°C (61.5%) over 39°C (31.5%), while lower or higher thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected shifts in wind or humidity. Updated short-range forecasts and official station readings will determine the precise recorded high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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