National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport call for sunny conditions and a high near 101°F on August 4, 2026, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture under a persistent upper-level ridge. This setup favors strong daytime heating through subsidence and clear skies typical of late-summer Texas climatology, where average August maxima hover near 99°F. Model consensus and recent observations place the most likely outcome in the 100–101°F bin, which commands 62.5% market-implied probability, while the 102–103°F range sits at 25.5% amid modest uncertainty in peak mixing or boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs show occasional 104°F+ spikes when the ridge strengthens, but current guidance shows no such amplification before sunset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 4?
100-101°F 56%
102-103°F 24%
98-99°F 14%
97°F or below 1.6%
$14,497 Обс.
$14,497 Обс.
97°F or below
2%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 56%
102-103°F 24%
98-99°F 14%
97°F or below 1.6%
$14,497 Обс.
$14,497 Обс.
97°F or below
2%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport call for sunny conditions and a high near 101°F on August 4, 2026, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture under a persistent upper-level ridge. This setup favors strong daytime heating through subsidence and clear skies typical of late-summer Texas climatology, where average August maxima hover near 99°F. Model consensus and recent observations place the most likely outcome in the 100–101°F bin, which commands 62.5% market-implied probability, while the 102–103°F range sits at 25.5% amid modest uncertainty in peak mixing or boundary-layer moisture. Historical analogs show occasional 104°F+ spikes when the ridge strengthens, but current guidance shows no such amplification before sunset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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