Current forecast ensembles from major meteorological centers show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean, promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling that supports overnight lows in Milan near 19–20°C for September 1. Small differences among models arise from variations in predicted low-level moisture, boundary-layer wind speeds, and the timing of any subtle frontal approach, which can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. These factors explain the market’s tight clustering around 18–21°C outcomes. Historical early-September climatology for the Po Valley places average minima near 18°C, underscoring why traders assign low probability to extremes below 16°C or above 23°C. Next model cycles within 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Milan on September 1?
19°C 32%
20°C 27%
18°C 27%
21°C 26%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
23%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
32%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
21%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
7%
19°C 32%
20°C 27%
18°C 27%
21°C 26%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
23%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
32%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
21%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast ensembles from major meteorological centers show a persistent high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean, promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling that supports overnight lows in Milan near 19–20°C for September 1. Small differences among models arise from variations in predicted low-level moisture, boundary-layer wind speeds, and the timing of any subtle frontal approach, which can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. These factors explain the market’s tight clustering around 18–21°C outcomes. Historical early-September climatology for the Po Valley places average minima near 18°C, underscoring why traders assign low probability to extremes below 16°C or above 23°C. Next model cycles within 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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