Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on September 1 points to mostly sunny skies under persistent high pressure, with daytime highs forecast in the upper 90s to low 100s amid light southerly winds and dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where the long-term average high is 94.4°F and recent August readings have frequently reached the upper 90s. The market’s heaviest volume on the 98-101°F range reflects trader assessment of this consensus, tempered by typical model spread of a few degrees and the possibility of slightly stronger mixing or brief cloud increases that could cap temperatures near the lower end of that window. Updated short-range runs and official National Weather Service briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 1?
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 29%
94-95°F 22%
102-103°F 20%
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
33%
102-103°F
20%
104-105°F
16%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 29%
94-95°F 22%
102-103°F 20%
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
33%
102-103°F
20%
104-105°F
16%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on September 1 points to mostly sunny skies under persistent high pressure, with daytime highs forecast in the upper 90s to low 100s amid light southerly winds and dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where the long-term average high is 94.4°F and recent August readings have frequently reached the upper 90s. The market’s heaviest volume on the 98-101°F range reflects trader assessment of this consensus, tempered by typical model spread of a few degrees and the possibility of slightly stronger mixing or brief cloud increases that could cap temperatures near the lower end of that window. Updated short-range runs and official National Weather Service briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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