Current observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm that Tokyo's daily maximum temperature on August 30 reached 26°C amid cloudy conditions and light northerly winds, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome. Hourly readings through the afternoon peaked near this level without exceeding it, consistent with model consensus and recent cooling trends following earlier August heat. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects high confidence in official station measurements resolving the market. A late-day spike or post-hoc data revision remains a low-probability scenario that could shift results, though current conditions make it unlikely.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$69,147 Vol.
$69,147 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$69,147 Vol.
$69,147 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$2,920 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,589 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,025 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$10,794 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,725 Vol.
1%
28°C
$9,175 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,546 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,039 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,650 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,428 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm that Tokyo's daily maximum temperature on August 30 reached 26°C amid cloudy conditions and light northerly winds, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome. Hourly readings through the afternoon peaked near this level without exceeding it, consistent with model consensus and recent cooling trends following earlier August heat. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects high confidence in official station measurements resolving the market. A late-day spike or post-hoc data revision remains a low-probability scenario that could shift results, though current conditions make it unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$69,147Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm that Tokyo's daily maximum temperature on August 30 reached 26°C amid cloudy conditions and light northerly winds, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome. Hourly readings through the afternoon peaked near this level without exceeding it, consistent with model consensus and recent cooling trends following earlier August heat. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects high confidence in official station measurements resolving the market. A late-day spike or post-hoc data revision remains a low-probability scenario that could shift results, though current conditions make it unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,147Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current observational data from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm that Tokyo's daily maximum temperature on August 30 reached 26°C amid cloudy conditions and light northerly winds, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome. Hourly readings through the afternoon peaked near this level without exceeding it, consistent with model consensus and recent cooling trends following earlier August heat. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects high confidence in official station measurements resolving the market. A late-day spike or post-hoc data revision remains a low-probability scenario that could shift results, though current conditions make it unlikely.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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