Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance for LaGuardia Airport indicate a high-pressure ridge supporting partly sunny conditions and southwest winds of 5–10 mph, favoring daytime maximum temperatures in the mid-80s. Trader consensus remains tightly balanced between the 82–83°F and 80–81°F bins because afternoon sea-breeze advection from the Atlantic and any developing cumulus or scattered showers could limit peak insolation and surface heating by 2–4°F. Model spread stays modest given stable synoptic patterns and low precipitation probabilities, yet historical verification at the urban station shows frequent downward adjustments from raw guidance when marine influences strengthen after midday. Updated short-range model runs and official NWS briefings through the afternoon will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on August 30?
82-83°F 45%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 11%
84-85°F 11%
$25,967 Vol.
$25,967 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 45%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 11%
84-85°F 11%
$25,967 Vol.
$25,967 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance for LaGuardia Airport indicate a high-pressure ridge supporting partly sunny conditions and southwest winds of 5–10 mph, favoring daytime maximum temperatures in the mid-80s. Trader consensus remains tightly balanced between the 82–83°F and 80–81°F bins because afternoon sea-breeze advection from the Atlantic and any developing cumulus or scattered showers could limit peak insolation and surface heating by 2–4°F. Model spread stays modest given stable synoptic patterns and low precipitation probabilities, yet historical verification at the urban station shows frequent downward adjustments from raw guidance when marine influences strengthen after midday. Updated short-range model runs and official NWS briefings through the afternoon will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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