**Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and a broad trough of low pressure are capping daytime heating in Hong Kong on August 30, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered around 29–31°C.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecast calls for mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers, increasing to more widespread rain and thunderstorms later, under light winds. This pattern limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, preventing temperatures from reaching the upper end of typical late-August ranges. Morning observations near 29°C across urban stations, combined with relative humidity of 75–95%, further constrain the daily peak. Model consensus and climatological analogs for similar trough-influenced days support a highest temperature most likely at 30°C, aligning with market-implied odds of 42.5% for 30°C, 30% for 29°C, and 22% for 31°C. The low probabilities assigned to 32°C or higher reflect the ongoing precipitation and suppressed radiative heating expected through the afternoon. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station data through the day will be the key inputs for final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
30°C 46%
31°C 35%
29°C 13%
32°C 6%
BAGO
$40,958 Vol.
BAGO
$40,958 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
13%
30°C
46%
31°C
35%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 46%
31°C 35%
29°C 13%
32°C 6%
BAGO
$40,958 Vol.
BAGO
$40,958 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,766 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,645 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,644 Vol.
13%
30°C
$4,782 Vol.
46%
31°C
$4,152 Vol.
35%
32°C
$4,635 Vol.
6%
33°C
$1,971 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,767 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,174 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$6,298 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and a broad trough of low pressure are capping daytime heating in Hong Kong on August 30, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered around 29–31°C.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecast calls for mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers, increasing to more widespread rain and thunderstorms later, under light winds. This pattern limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, preventing temperatures from reaching the upper end of typical late-August ranges.
Morning observations near 29°C across urban stations, combined with relative humidity of 75–95%, further constrain the daily peak. Model consensus and climatological analogs for similar trough-influenced days support a highest temperature most likely at 30°C, aligning with market-implied odds of 42.5% for 30°C, 30% for 29°C, and 22% for 31°C. The low probabilities assigned to 32°C or higher reflect the ongoing precipitation and suppressed radiative heating expected through the afternoon. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station data through the day will be the key inputs for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$40,958Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and a broad trough of low pressure are capping daytime heating in Hong Kong on August 30, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered around 29–31°C.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecast calls for mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers, increasing to more widespread rain and thunderstorms later, under light winds. This pattern limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, preventing temperatures from reaching the upper end of typical late-August ranges.
Morning observations near 29°C across urban stations, combined with relative humidity of 75–95%, further constrain the daily peak. Model consensus and climatological analogs for similar trough-influenced days support a highest temperature most likely at 30°C, aligning with market-implied odds of 42.5% for 30°C, 30% for 29°C, and 22% for 31°C. The low probabilities assigned to 32°C or higher reflect the ongoing precipitation and suppressed radiative heating expected through the afternoon. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station data through the day will be the key inputs for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,958Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and a broad trough of low pressure are capping daytime heating in Hong Kong on August 30, 2026, keeping the maximum temperature tightly clustered around 29–31°C.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecast calls for mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers, increasing to more widespread rain and thunderstorms later, under light winds. This pattern limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, preventing temperatures from reaching the upper end of typical late-August ranges. Morning observations near 29°C across urban stations, combined with relative humidity of 75–95%, further constrain the daily peak. Model consensus and climatological analogs for similar trough-influenced days support a highest temperature most likely at 30°C, aligning with market-implied odds of 42.5% for 30°C, 30% for 29°C, and 22% for 31°C. The low probabilities assigned to 32°C or higher reflect the ongoing precipitation and suppressed radiative heating expected through the afternoon. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station data through the day will be the key inputs for final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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