Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services project a mostly sunny September 1 for Istanbul under persistent northeasterly flow, with afternoon highs centered around 28°C but tempered by moderate winds and moderate humidity. This setup favors daily maxima in the 26–27°C range as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those bins and limited odds on 28°C or higher. Current late-August conditions show similar temperatures near 27–29°C without strong warming signals, while historical early-September averages hover near 26°C maximum. Model consensus and the absence of southerly advection or clear-sky extremes keep probabilities concentrated on 25–27°C ahead of final forecast updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 1?
26°C 49%
27°C 45%
25°C 22%
28°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
22%
26°C
49%
27°C
35%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 45%
25°C 22%
28°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
22%
26°C
49%
27°C
35%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services project a mostly sunny September 1 for Istanbul under persistent northeasterly flow, with afternoon highs centered around 28°C but tempered by moderate winds and moderate humidity. This setup favors daily maxima in the 26–27°C range as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on those bins and limited odds on 28°C or higher. Current late-August conditions show similar temperatures near 27–29°C without strong warming signals, while historical early-September averages hover near 26°C maximum. Model consensus and the absence of southerly advection or clear-sky extremes keep probabilities concentrated on 25–27°C ahead of final forecast updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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