Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Shenzhen on August 30 due to official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models showing a maximum near that threshold under persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture. Subtropical conditions with easterly flow, high humidity (75-90%), and widespread rain suppress daytime heating, aligning with typical late-August patterns where averages reach 32°C but rainy days often peak 1-3°C lower. Recent hourly observations confirm readings stabilizing around 29-31°C midday without rapid warming. A sudden break in cloud cover or unexpected steering shift could push readings higher, though ensemble guidance shows minimal probability of such changes before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
31°C 99.3%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$39,047 Vol.
$39,047 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.3%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$39,047 Vol.
$39,047 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Shenzhen on August 30 due to official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models showing a maximum near that threshold under persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture. Subtropical conditions with easterly flow, high humidity (75-90%), and widespread rain suppress daytime heating, aligning with typical late-August patterns where averages reach 32°C but rainy days often peak 1-3°C lower. Recent hourly observations confirm readings stabilizing around 29-31°C midday without rapid warming. A sudden break in cloud cover or unexpected steering shift could push readings higher, though ensemble guidance shows minimal probability of such changes before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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