**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily high of 98–99 °F in Austin on August 29, 2026, reflecting model consensus and pre-event observations that placed the peak just below the 100 °F threshold.** Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover supported strong daytime heating, yet slightly lower dew points and a modest breeze kept maximum temperatures from climbing further. Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom ultimately recorded 100 °F, but market-implied odds had priced in the higher probability of 98–99 °F based on earlier forecast guidance and climatological analogs for late-August conditions. A realistic shift toward 100–101 °F would have required stronger subsidence or reduced mixing; the narrow uncertainty window around the observed value underscores how small variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind can tip resolution between adjacent bins in temperature markets.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 29?
$21,227 Vol.
$21,227 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
98-99°F
100%
100-101°F
<1%
$21,227 Vol.
$21,227 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
98-99°F
$6,348 Vol.
100%
100-101°F
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily high of 98–99 °F in Austin on August 29, 2026, reflecting model consensus and pre-event observations that placed the peak just below the 100 °F threshold.** Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover supported strong daytime heating, yet slightly lower dew points and a modest breeze kept maximum temperatures from climbing further. Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom ultimately recorded 100 °F, but market-implied odds had priced in the higher probability of 98–99 °F based on earlier forecast guidance and climatological analogs for late-August conditions. A realistic shift toward 100–101 °F would have required stronger subsidence or reduced mixing; the narrow uncertainty window around the observed value underscores how small variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind can tip resolution between adjacent bins in temperature markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,227Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily high of 98–99 °F in Austin on August 29, 2026, reflecting model consensus and pre-event observations that placed the peak just below the 100 °F threshold.** Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover supported strong daytime heating, yet slightly lower dew points and a modest breeze kept maximum temperatures from climbing further. Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom ultimately recorded 100 °F, but market-implied odds had priced in the higher probability of 98–99 °F based on earlier forecast guidance and climatological analogs for late-August conditions. A realistic shift toward 100–101 °F would have required stronger subsidence or reduced mixing; the narrow uncertainty window around the observed value underscores how small variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind can tip resolution between adjacent bins in temperature markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,227Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily high of 98–99 °F in Austin on August 29, 2026, reflecting model consensus and pre-event observations that placed the peak just below the 100 °F threshold.** Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover supported strong daytime heating, yet slightly lower dew points and a modest breeze kept maximum temperatures from climbing further. Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom ultimately recorded 100 °F, but market-implied odds had priced in the higher probability of 98–99 °F based on earlier forecast guidance and climatological analogs for late-August conditions. A realistic shift toward 100–101 °F would have required stronger subsidence or reduced mixing; the narrow uncertainty window around the observed value underscores how small variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind can tip resolution between adjacent bins in temperature markets.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong