Current forecasts from models including GFS indicate a maximum of 20–21°C in Amsterdam on August 30 amid widespread cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and west-southwest winds of 10–15 mph that limit surface heating. These conditions align with the seasonal average high of 21.1°C and explain the market's strong 79% implied probability for 21°C as the daily peak. Persistent low pressure and moisture from Atlantic flow have suppressed any late-summer warming trend observed earlier in August, while historical extremes above 25°C remain unlikely under the present steering pattern. Updated model runs and official observations through midday continue to reinforce this range ahead of evening cooling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
21°C 90%
22°C 11%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$29,078 Vol.
$29,078 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
90%
22°C
11%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 90%
22°C 11%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$29,078 Vol.
$29,078 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
90%
22°C
11%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including GFS indicate a maximum of 20–21°C in Amsterdam on August 30 amid widespread cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and west-southwest winds of 10–15 mph that limit surface heating. These conditions align with the seasonal average high of 21.1°C and explain the market's strong 79% implied probability for 21°C as the daily peak. Persistent low pressure and moisture from Atlantic flow have suppressed any late-summer warming trend observed earlier in August, while historical extremes above 25°C remain unlikely under the present steering pattern. Updated model runs and official observations through midday continue to reinforce this range ahead of evening cooling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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