Trader consensus in the Toronto temperature market reflects Environment Canada’s official forecast of a 23°C high under cloudy skies with showers, which has kept the implied probability for that exact outcome at 38.5% while closely neighboring values of 22°C (30.5%) and 24°C (17.0%) absorb residual forecast uncertainty. Persistent cloud cover and periods of precipitation are limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing temperatures below late-August climatological norms near 25°C, with hourly guidance showing the mercury peaking midday before showers increase. Model consensus supports a narrow range around the forecast high, though small timing or intensity shifts in rain could alter the observed maximum by 1–2°C, sustaining tight spreads among the leading outcomes as resolution nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Toronto on August 30?
23°C 39%
22°C 31%
24°C 17%
21°C 14%
$19,790 Vol.
$19,790 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
14%
22°C
31%
23°C
39%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 31%
24°C 17%
21°C 14%
$19,790 Vol.
$19,790 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
14%
22°C
31%
23°C
39%
24°C
17%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Toronto temperature market reflects Environment Canada’s official forecast of a 23°C high under cloudy skies with showers, which has kept the implied probability for that exact outcome at 38.5% while closely neighboring values of 22°C (30.5%) and 24°C (17.0%) absorb residual forecast uncertainty. Persistent cloud cover and periods of precipitation are limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing temperatures below late-August climatological norms near 25°C, with hourly guidance showing the mercury peaking midday before showers increase. Model consensus supports a narrow range around the forecast high, though small timing or intensity shifts in rain could alter the observed maximum by 1–2°C, sustaining tight spreads among the leading outcomes as resolution nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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