Forecast models from agencies including ilMeteo.it, the Met Office, and global ensembles indicate a high of 30–31 °C for Milan on 30 August under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that maximizes daytime insolation while limiting mixing. These conditions, typical of late-summer Po Valley subsidence, support the market’s dominant 70 % implied probability on 30 °C and 20 % on 31 °C, with only modest odds on 29 °C or 32 °C reflecting small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of peak heating. Recent model runs have shown little trend, consistent with the absence of incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that could alter surface energy balance before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on August 30?
30°C 74%
31°C 19%
29°C 8%
32°C 1.3%
$27,591 Vol.
$27,591 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
74%
31°C
19%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 74%
31°C 19%
29°C 8%
32°C 1.3%
$27,591 Vol.
$27,591 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
74%
31°C
19%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including ilMeteo.it, the Met Office, and global ensembles indicate a high of 30–31 °C for Milan on 30 August under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that maximizes daytime insolation while limiting mixing. These conditions, typical of late-summer Po Valley subsidence, support the market’s dominant 70 % implied probability on 30 °C and 20 % on 31 °C, with only modest odds on 29 °C or 32 °C reflecting small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of peak heating. Recent model runs have shown little trend, consistent with the absence of incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that could alter surface energy balance before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong