Persistent high pressure and clear skies are driving expectations for strong daytime solar heating in Milan on August 31, with light westerly winds and low humidity supporting peak temperatures in the low 30s °C. Multiple forecast models, including runs from GFS and regional sources, converge on a daily maximum near 31–32 °C under mostly sunny conditions, with afternoon readings peaking around 14:00–17:00 local time before rapid evening cooling. This stability explains the heavy market weighting on 31 °C (52.5 % implied probability) and 30 °C (33 %), while the slim odds on 32 °C or higher reflect minor upside risks from localized warming if winds remain lighter than projected. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter this consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Milan on August 31?
31°C 53%
30°C 33%
29°C 5%
32°C 5%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
33%
31°C
53%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 53%
30°C 33%
29°C 5%
32°C 5%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
33%
31°C
53%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and clear skies are driving expectations for strong daytime solar heating in Milan on August 31, with light westerly winds and low humidity supporting peak temperatures in the low 30s °C. Multiple forecast models, including runs from GFS and regional sources, converge on a daily maximum near 31–32 °C under mostly sunny conditions, with afternoon readings peaking around 14:00–17:00 local time before rapid evening cooling. This stability explains the heavy market weighting on 31 °C (52.5 % implied probability) and 30 °C (33 %), while the slim odds on 32 °C or higher reflect minor upside risks from localized warming if winds remain lighter than projected. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter this consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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