Traders see 16–20°C outcomes clustered near the top because forecast models show uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under clear, high-pressure conditions persisting into August 31. With daytime highs near 30–32°C and dew points around 17–18°C, the temperature drop depends on light winds limiting turbulent mixing, minimal cloud cover, and exact boundary-layer moisture. Recent stable anticyclonic patterns have produced similar nocturnal minima in the low 20s, but small shifts in wind direction or residual humidity could push the low below 20°C or hold it near 22°C. Upcoming evening model runs and surface observations will clarify whether cooling reaches the 16–19°C band favored by the tight market spread.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Milan on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 31?
18°C 46%
16°C or below 33%
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
33%
17°C
25%
18°C
28%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
25%
22°C
24%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
18°C 46%
16°C or below 33%
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$43 Vol.
33%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$2 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
32%
20°C
$0 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
8%
25°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 16–20°C outcomes clustered near the top because forecast models show uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under clear, high-pressure conditions persisting into August 31. With daytime highs near 30–32°C and dew points around 17–18°C, the temperature drop depends on light winds limiting turbulent mixing, minimal cloud cover, and exact boundary-layer moisture. Recent stable anticyclonic patterns have produced similar nocturnal minima in the low 20s, but small shifts in wind direction or residual humidity could push the low below 20°C or hold it near 22°C. Upcoming evening model runs and surface observations will clarify whether cooling reaches the 16–19°C band favored by the tight market spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$56Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 16–20°C outcomes clustered near the top because forecast models show uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under clear, high-pressure conditions persisting into August 31. With daytime highs near 30–32°C and dew points around 17–18°C, the temperature drop depends on light winds limiting turbulent mixing, minimal cloud cover, and exact boundary-layer moisture. Recent stable anticyclonic patterns have produced similar nocturnal minima in the low 20s, but small shifts in wind direction or residual humidity could push the low below 20°C or hold it near 22°C. Upcoming evening model runs and surface observations will clarify whether cooling reaches the 16–19°C band favored by the tight market spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 16–20°C outcomes clustered near the top because forecast models show uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under clear, high-pressure conditions persisting into August 31. With daytime highs near 30–32°C and dew points around 17–18°C, the temperature drop depends on light winds limiting turbulent mixing, minimal cloud cover, and exact boundary-layer moisture. Recent stable anticyclonic patterns have produced similar nocturnal minima in the low 20s, but small shifts in wind direction or residual humidity could push the low below 20°C or hold it near 22°C. Upcoming evening model runs and surface observations will clarify whether cooling reaches the 16–19°C band favored by the tight market spread.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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