Recent forecasts from Brazilian agencies including the CGE and IPMet, along with climatological models, indicate a persistent warm, dry air mass over São Paulo driving daytime highs near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies and relative humidity dropping to ~30 %. This stems from an atypical late-August heat wave that began around 27 August, with strong insolation, light winds, and urban heat-island effects amplifying surface temperatures above seasonal norms for the Southern Hemisphere winter. Hourly observations show afternoon peaks clustering around 30–31 °C before any evening cloud increase or subtle sea-breeze influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C, aligns with this model agreement while acknowledging minor forecast spread from variable cloud timing or localized microclimates that could trim the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. A cold front expected after 31 August will likely end the anomaly.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
30°C 37%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
28°C or below 15%
$22,051 Vol.
$22,051 Vol.
28°C or below
15%
29°C
20%
30°C
37%
31°C
21%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
28°C or below 15%
$22,051 Vol.
$22,051 Vol.
28°C or below
15%
29°C
20%
30°C
37%
31°C
21%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Brazilian agencies including the CGE and IPMet, along with climatological models, indicate a persistent warm, dry air mass over São Paulo driving daytime highs near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies and relative humidity dropping to ~30 %. This stems from an atypical late-August heat wave that began around 27 August, with strong insolation, light winds, and urban heat-island effects amplifying surface temperatures above seasonal norms for the Southern Hemisphere winter. Hourly observations show afternoon peaks clustering around 30–31 °C before any evening cloud increase or subtle sea-breeze influence. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C, aligns with this model agreement while acknowledging minor forecast spread from variable cloud timing or localized microclimates that could trim the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. A cold front expected after 31 August will likely end the anomaly.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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