Short-range ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) models shows the highest temperature in Munich on August 26 most likely falling between 24–28 °C, producing the market’s evenly matched implied probabilities. The spread arises from modest uncertainty in daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, weak southerly flow, and boundary-layer mixing ahead of a subtle frontal approach. Historical late-August climatology places the average daily maximum near 23 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal but lack strong warm-air advection that would push readings higher. Final high-resolution model runs and official DWD observations issued on the morning of the 26th will determine the exact peak used for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
27°C 46%
28°C 28%
26°C 20%
24°C 14%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C
20%
27°C
46%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
6%
27°C 46%
28°C 28%
26°C 20%
24°C 14%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C
20%
27°C
46%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and German Weather Service (DWD) models shows the highest temperature in Munich on August 26 most likely falling between 24–28 °C, producing the market’s evenly matched implied probabilities. The spread arises from modest uncertainty in daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, weak southerly flow, and boundary-layer mixing ahead of a subtle frontal approach. Historical late-August climatology places the average daily maximum near 23 °C, so current conditions sit slightly above normal but lack strong warm-air advection that would push readings higher. Final high-resolution model runs and official DWD observations issued on the morning of the 26th will determine the exact peak used for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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