**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 108°F under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds and heat indices reaching 112°F, consistent with the broader Texas heat wave pushing daily records.** This aligns with the market's leading 106-107°F bin at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus and current observations showing highs climbing toward that range. Historical context reinforces the outlook—the all-time August 23 record stands at 107°F (2010)—while lighter 108-109°F odds (17.5%) account for minor forecast variability or localized heat. Low precipitation chances and stable high-pressure patterns limit upside risk beyond 109°F. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations through peak afternoon heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
106-107°F 54%
104-105°F 25%
108-109°F 21%
110-111°F 1.7%
$28,125 Vol.
$28,125 Vol.
101°F or below
<1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
25%
106-107°F
54%
108-109°F
21%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 54%
104-105°F 25%
108-109°F 21%
110-111°F 1.7%
$28,125 Vol.
$28,125 Vol.
101°F or below
<1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
25%
106-107°F
54%
108-109°F
21%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 108°F under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds and heat indices reaching 112°F, consistent with the broader Texas heat wave pushing daily records.** This aligns with the market's leading 106-107°F bin at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus and current observations showing highs climbing toward that range. Historical context reinforces the outlook—the all-time August 23 record stands at 107°F (2010)—while lighter 108-109°F odds (17.5%) account for minor forecast variability or localized heat. Low precipitation chances and stable high-pressure patterns limit upside risk beyond 109°F. Updated NWS briefings and hourly observations through peak afternoon heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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