**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23, 2026, reflecting alignment between current forecasts, climatological norms, and real-time conditions.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daily maximum near 33–34°C amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity (often 70–90%), and cloud cover that limits intense solar heating. This matches the long-term average high of 33.2°C for the date, with recent years showing similar values (e.g., 32.9°C in 2024 and 33.5°C in 2023). Persistent rain and overcast skies, driven by typical late-summer monsoon patterns, suppress extremes and keep readings close to the historical baseline rather than the all-time high of 38°C. Realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing of clouds allowing greater insolation or revisions in model runs showing stronger heating, potentially pushing the peak to 34°C. However, the high probability of precipitation and stable steering patterns make significant deviations unlikely on this date. Market-implied odds capture this strong consensus grounded in observational data and forecast agreement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
33°C 96.4%
34°C 2.6%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$70,837 Vol.
$70,837 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
96%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 96.4%
34°C 2.6%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$70,837 Vol.
$70,837 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
96%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23, 2026, reflecting alignment between current forecasts, climatological norms, and real-time conditions.** Multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daily maximum near 33–34°C amid widespread thunderstorms, high humidity (often 70–90%), and cloud cover that limits intense solar heating. This matches the long-term average high of 33.2°C for the date, with recent years showing similar values (e.g., 32.9°C in 2024 and 33.5°C in 2023). Persistent rain and overcast skies, driven by typical late-summer monsoon patterns, suppress extremes and keep readings close to the historical baseline rather than the all-time high of 38°C. Realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing of clouds allowing greater insolation or revisions in model runs showing stronger heating, potentially pushing the peak to 34°C. However, the high probability of precipitation and stable steering patterns make significant deviations unlikely on this date. Market-implied odds capture this strong consensus grounded in observational data and forecast agreement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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