Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a maximum near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which aligns with the market-implied 39% probability for 32°C and 28.5% for 33°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer late-summer patterns, keeping highs from reaching the 34–35°C range that holds only 9% combined odds. These conditions reflect typical August humidity and monsoon influences, with model consensus favoring modest temperatures rather than extreme heat. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely drive any final shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
32°C 39%
33°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
39%
33°C
29%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 39%
33°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$1,203 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$475 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$60 Vol.
1%
29°C
$62 Vol.
3%
30°C
$249 Vol.
6%
31°C
$1,676 Vol.
14%
32°C
$513 Vol.
39%
33°C
$628 Vol.
29%
34°C
$574 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$128 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a maximum near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which aligns with the market-implied 39% probability for 32°C and 28.5% for 33°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer late-summer patterns, keeping highs from reaching the 34–35°C range that holds only 9% combined odds. These conditions reflect typical August humidity and monsoon influences, with model consensus favoring modest temperatures rather than extreme heat. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely drive any final shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,819Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a maximum near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which aligns with the market-implied 39% probability for 32°C and 28.5% for 33°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer late-summer patterns, keeping highs from reaching the 34–35°C range that holds only 9% combined odds. These conditions reflect typical August humidity and monsoon influences, with model consensus favoring modest temperatures rather than extreme heat. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely drive any final shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,819Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a maximum near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which aligns with the market-implied 39% probability for 32°C and 28.5% for 33°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer late-summer patterns, keeping highs from reaching the 34–35°C range that holds only 9% combined odds. These conditions reflect typical August humidity and monsoon influences, with model consensus favoring modest temperatures rather than extreme heat. Updated JMA guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely drive any final shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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