The market's unanimous 100% implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Chicago on August 22 aligns with official National Weather Service station observations confirming that exact maximum. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity levels and absence of strong high-pressure systems, produced a typical diurnal range without exceeding seasonal norms near 82°F. This outcome matches historical climatological baselines for the period, where daily highs frequently settle in the low 80s absent heat-wave advection. Minor variations in measurement timing or station microclimates remain possible but are unlikely to alter the resolved threshold given cross-verified data from primary reporting sites.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chicago on August 22?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 22?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$132,737 Vol.
$132,737 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$132,737 Vol.
$132,737 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
$12,195 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$11,771 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$15,892 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$12,346 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$11,535 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$17,886 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$17,944 Vol.
100%
82-83°F
$10,218 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$10,535 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$5,831 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$6,583 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's unanimous 100% implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Chicago on August 22 aligns with official National Weather Service station observations confirming that exact maximum. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity levels and absence of strong high-pressure systems, produced a typical diurnal range without exceeding seasonal norms near 82°F. This outcome matches historical climatological baselines for the period, where daily highs frequently settle in the low 80s absent heat-wave advection. Minor variations in measurement timing or station microclimates remain possible but are unlikely to alter the resolved threshold given cross-verified data from primary reporting sites.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$132,737Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's unanimous 100% implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Chicago on August 22 aligns with official National Weather Service station observations confirming that exact maximum. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity levels and absence of strong high-pressure systems, produced a typical diurnal range without exceeding seasonal norms near 82°F. This outcome matches historical climatological baselines for the period, where daily highs frequently settle in the low 80s absent heat-wave advection. Minor variations in measurement timing or station microclimates remain possible but are unlikely to alter the resolved threshold given cross-verified data from primary reporting sites.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$132,737Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's unanimous 100% implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Chicago on August 22 aligns with official National Weather Service station observations confirming that exact maximum. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity levels and absence of strong high-pressure systems, produced a typical diurnal range without exceeding seasonal norms near 82°F. This outcome matches historical climatological baselines for the period, where daily highs frequently settle in the low 80s absent heat-wave advection. Minor variations in measurement timing or station microclimates remain possible but are unlikely to alter the resolved threshold given cross-verified data from primary reporting sites.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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