Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple models point to a high of 33–34 °C in Beijing on August 24, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and a chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could cap the peak. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the tightly bunched 32–34 °C outcomes. Afternoon convection tied to monsoon moisture remains the key variable: earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the range, while prolonged sunshine or delayed precipitation could push readings toward 35 °C or above. Historical August averages near 30 °C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-term model consensus currently supports the clustered probabilities. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will clarify the timing of any storms.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
33°C 29%
32°C 21%
34°C 19%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
21%
33°C
29%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
3%
33°C 29%
32°C 21%
34°C 19%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
21%
33°C
29%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple models point to a high of 33–34 °C in Beijing on August 24, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and a chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could cap the peak. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the tightly bunched 32–34 °C outcomes. Afternoon convection tied to monsoon moisture remains the key variable: earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the range, while prolonged sunshine or delayed precipitation could push readings toward 35 °C or above. Historical August averages near 30 °C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-term model consensus currently supports the clustered probabilities. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will clarify the timing of any storms.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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