Recent GFS and supporting model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Madrid on August 24, driven by increased afternoon cloud cover, a chance of light drizzle, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote mixing of cooler maritime air, yielding values well below the 1991–2020 average high of 31°C. Small differences among 27°C and 28°C outcomes hinge on precise cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban measurement site effects. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against the narrow remaining forecast spread.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
28°C 36%
27°C 32%
26°C 15%
29°C 12%
BAGO
$14,163 Vol.
BAGO
$14,163 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
32%
28°C
36%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 36%
27°C 32%
26°C 15%
29°C 12%
BAGO
$14,163 Vol.
BAGO
$14,163 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$305 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$365 Vol.
1%
25°C
$348 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,950 Vol.
15%
27°C
$1,339 Vol.
32%
28°C
$4,829 Vol.
36%
29°C
$3,338 Vol.
12%
30°C
$984 Vol.
5%
31°C
$111 Vol.
1%
32°C
$160 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$436 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and supporting model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Madrid on August 24, driven by increased afternoon cloud cover, a chance of light drizzle, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote mixing of cooler maritime air, yielding values well below the 1991–2020 average high of 31°C. Small differences among 27°C and 28°C outcomes hinge on precise cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban measurement site effects. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against the narrow remaining forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,163Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and supporting model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Madrid on August 24, driven by increased afternoon cloud cover, a chance of light drizzle, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote mixing of cooler maritime air, yielding values well below the 1991–2020 average high of 31°C. Small differences among 27°C and 28°C outcomes hinge on precise cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban measurement site effects. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against the narrow remaining forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,163Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and supporting model guidance point to a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Madrid on August 24, driven by increased afternoon cloud cover, a chance of light drizzle, and southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote mixing of cooler maritime air, yielding values well below the 1991–2020 average high of 31°C. Small differences among 27°C and 28°C outcomes hinge on precise cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban measurement site effects. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against the narrow remaining forecast spread.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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