Marine layer conditions and southwest winds are anchoring San Francisco’s August 23 high near the 68–74 °F range, with official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts showing mostly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Persistent onshore flow and typical summer stratus keep temperatures from climbing into the mid-70s or higher, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 72–73 °F (41.5 %). Recent model runs have shown minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these bins while limiting probability mass above 75 °F or below 70 °F.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 20%
76-77°F 13%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 20%
76-77°F 13%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer conditions and southwest winds are anchoring San Francisco’s August 23 high near the 68–74 °F range, with official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts showing mostly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Persistent onshore flow and typical summer stratus keep temperatures from climbing into the mid-70s or higher, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 72–73 °F (41.5 %). Recent model runs have shown minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these bins while limiting probability mass above 75 °F or below 70 °F.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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