Meteorological forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum near 15°C on August 24, driven by clear skies, northwesterly flow, and weak high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover and allows modest warming above seasonal late-winter averages of 13–14°C. Global ensemble models show tight clustering around 14–16°C with low spread, explaining the market's concentration on those three outcomes at roughly 93% combined implied probability. Recent model updates have held steady without major shifts from upstream observations, while the slim tails for 17°C or below 14°C reflect the low likelihood of rapid advection changes or unexpected radiative cooling before the daily peak is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
15°C 49%
16°C 30%
14°C 15%
17°C 8%
BAGO
$13,362 Vol.
BAGO
$13,362 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
15%
15°C
49%
16°C
30%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 49%
16°C 30%
14°C 15%
17°C 8%
BAGO
$13,362 Vol.
BAGO
$13,362 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$364 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$344 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$532 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$681 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2,432 Vol.
15%
15°C
$2,997 Vol.
49%
16°C
$2,795 Vol.
30%
17°C
$1,972 Vol.
8%
18°C
$484 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$385 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum near 15°C on August 24, driven by clear skies, northwesterly flow, and weak high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover and allows modest warming above seasonal late-winter averages of 13–14°C. Global ensemble models show tight clustering around 14–16°C with low spread, explaining the market's concentration on those three outcomes at roughly 93% combined implied probability. Recent model updates have held steady without major shifts from upstream observations, while the slim tails for 17°C or below 14°C reflect the low likelihood of rapid advection changes or unexpected radiative cooling before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,362Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum near 15°C on August 24, driven by clear skies, northwesterly flow, and weak high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover and allows modest warming above seasonal late-winter averages of 13–14°C. Global ensemble models show tight clustering around 14–16°C with low spread, explaining the market's concentration on those three outcomes at roughly 93% combined implied probability. Recent model updates have held steady without major shifts from upstream observations, while the slim tails for 17°C or below 14°C reflect the low likelihood of rapid advection changes or unexpected radiative cooling before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,362Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum near 15°C on August 24, driven by clear skies, northwesterly flow, and weak high-pressure ridging that limits cloud cover and allows modest warming above seasonal late-winter averages of 13–14°C. Global ensemble models show tight clustering around 14–16°C with low spread, explaining the market's concentration on those three outcomes at roughly 93% combined implied probability. Recent model updates have held steady without major shifts from upstream observations, while the slim tails for 17°C or below 14°C reflect the low likelihood of rapid advection changes or unexpected radiative cooling before the daily peak is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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