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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

31°C 37%

30°C 30%

32°C 17%

29°C 13%

Polymarket
BAGO

$14,475 Vol.

31°C 37%

30°C 30%

32°C 17%

29°C 13%

Polymarket
BAGO

$14,475 Vol.

24°C or below

$203 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$88 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$170 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$2,123 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$1,898 Vol.

2%

29°C

$1,590 Vol.

13%

30°C

$2,572 Vol.

30%

31°C

$1,919 Vol.

37%

32°C

$1,396 Vol.

17%

33°C

$1,869 Vol.

3%

34°C or higher

$647 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the Polymarket temperature market reflects a tight cluster around 30–32°C, driven primarily by Hong Kong Observatory guidance of a 31°C high amid a broad low-pressure trough. This pattern favors multi-cloudy skies, frequent showers, and squally thunderstorms that introduce high uncertainty in peak readings through evaporative cooling and variable solar heating. Recent model runs show modest spread in convective timing and coverage, with some guidance favoring slightly lower maxima near 30°C if showers arrive earlier or more intensely, while drier interludes could allow brief climbs toward 32°C. August climatology places the typical daily high near 31°C, providing a stable baseline, yet the current unsettled regime heightens sensitivity to short-term forecast adjustments ahead of the August 24 observation window.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,475
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the Polymarket temperature market reflects a tight cluster around 30–32°C, driven primarily by Hong Kong Observatory guidance of a 31°C high amid a broad low-pressure trough. This pattern favors multi-cloudy skies, frequent showers, and squally thunderstorms that introduce high uncertainty in peak readings through evaporative cooling and variable solar heating. Recent model runs show modest spread in convective timing and coverage, with some guidance favoring slightly lower maxima near 30°C if showers arrive earlier or more intensely, while drier interludes could allow brief climbs toward 32°C. August climatology places the typical daily high near 31°C, providing a stable baseline, yet the current unsettled regime heightens sensitivity to short-term forecast adjustments ahead of the August 24 observation window.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,475
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 24, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "31°C" sa 37%, sinusundan ng "30°C" sa 30%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 37¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 37% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?" ay naka-generate ng $14.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 22, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?" ay "31°C" sa 37%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 37% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "30°C" sa 30%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.