Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Seattle points to overnight lows of 55–60 °F on August 25, driven by a weakening marine layer, light northwest flow, and limited cloud cover that allows efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 75–80 °F. Ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF show minimal spread around this range, with any scattered showers earlier in the period expected to clear by evening. These conditions align closely with climatological August minima (56 °F average), supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability in the 56–63 °F bins. Shifts in the latest model runs or unexpected onshore flow could nudge the minimum a degree or two, but current consensus keeps the 60–61 °F outcome as the clearest favorite.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
52-53°F 45%
60-61°F 44%
56-57°F 27%
58-59°F 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
45%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
44%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
1%
52-53°F 45%
60-61°F 44%
56-57°F 27%
58-59°F 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
49°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
50-51°F
$5 ปริมาณ
21%
52-53°F
$5 ปริมาณ
45%
54-55°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
56-57°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
64-65°F
$5 ปริมาณ
20%
66-67°F
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
68°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Seattle points to overnight lows of 55–60 °F on August 25, driven by a weakening marine layer, light northwest flow, and limited cloud cover that allows efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 75–80 °F. Ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF show minimal spread around this range, with any scattered showers earlier in the period expected to clear by evening. These conditions align closely with climatological August minima (56 °F average), supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability in the 56–63 °F bins. Shifts in the latest model runs or unexpected onshore flow could nudge the minimum a degree or two, but current consensus keeps the 60–61 °F outcome as the clearest favorite.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Seattle points to overnight lows of 55–60 °F on August 25, driven by a weakening marine layer, light northwest flow, and limited cloud cover that allows efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 75–80 °F. Ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF show minimal spread around this range, with any scattered showers earlier in the period expected to clear by evening. These conditions align closely with climatological August minima (56 °F average), supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability in the 56–63 °F bins. Shifts in the latest model runs or unexpected onshore flow could nudge the minimum a degree or two, but current consensus keeps the 60–61 °F outcome as the clearest favorite.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Seattle points to overnight lows of 55–60 °F on August 25, driven by a weakening marine layer, light northwest flow, and limited cloud cover that allows efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 75–80 °F. Ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF show minimal spread around this range, with any scattered showers earlier in the period expected to clear by evening. These conditions align closely with climatological August minima (56 °F average), supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability in the 56–63 °F bins. Shifts in the latest model runs or unexpected onshore flow could nudge the minimum a degree or two, but current consensus keeps the 60–61 °F outcome as the clearest favorite.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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