Persistent marine layer influence and an upper-level trough over the eastern Pacific are keeping San Francisco coastal temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs in the mid-to-upper 60s for August 25. Onshore westerly flow, cool ocean upwelling, and stratus cloud cover limit daytime warming, though any thinning of the marine layer or slight ridge building could allow readings to reach the low 70s. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with market-implied odds split across 66–67°F and 72–73°F buckets amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty in coastal microclimates. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations will refine the final high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
5%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
4%
82°F or higher
6%
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
5%
64-65°F
$5 ปริมาณ
9%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
68-69°F
$10 ปริมาณ
17%
70-71°F
$2 ปริมาณ
26%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
76-77°F
$2 ปริมาณ
9%
78-79°F
$5 ปริมาณ
9%
80-81°F
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
82°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and an upper-level trough over the eastern Pacific are keeping San Francisco coastal temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs in the mid-to-upper 60s for August 25. Onshore westerly flow, cool ocean upwelling, and stratus cloud cover limit daytime warming, though any thinning of the marine layer or slight ridge building could allow readings to reach the low 70s. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with market-implied odds split across 66–67°F and 72–73°F buckets amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty in coastal microclimates. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations will refine the final high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and an upper-level trough over the eastern Pacific are keeping San Francisco coastal temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs in the mid-to-upper 60s for August 25. Onshore westerly flow, cool ocean upwelling, and stratus cloud cover limit daytime warming, though any thinning of the marine layer or slight ridge building could allow readings to reach the low 70s. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with market-implied odds split across 66–67°F and 72–73°F buckets amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty in coastal microclimates. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations will refine the final high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer influence and an upper-level trough over the eastern Pacific are keeping San Francisco coastal temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs in the mid-to-upper 60s for August 25. Onshore westerly flow, cool ocean upwelling, and stratus cloud cover limit daytime warming, though any thinning of the marine layer or slight ridge building could allow readings to reach the low 70s. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with market-implied odds split across 66–67°F and 72–73°F buckets amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty in coastal microclimates. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations will refine the final high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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