Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service are driving the tight clustering around 78–81°F lows for Miami on August 25, with traders assigning 28.5% and 26.0% implied probabilities to the two leading bins. Typical late-summer patterns—high humidity, light winds, and limited overnight radiational cooling—support these ranges, while slight model differences in cloud cover and frontal positioning create the observed uncertainty between 76–77°F and 82–83°F outcomes. With resolution occurring within hours, any last model run or observational update could shift the final reading within the narrow 74–85°F window that holds over 90% of market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 25?
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 26%
76-77°F 11%
82-83°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 26%
76-77°F 11%
82-83°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
69°F or below
$27 ปริมาณ
4%
70-71°F
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
72-73°F
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
76-77°F
$61 ปริมาณ
11%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
86-87°F
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
88°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service are driving the tight clustering around 78–81°F lows for Miami on August 25, with traders assigning 28.5% and 26.0% implied probabilities to the two leading bins. Typical late-summer patterns—high humidity, light winds, and limited overnight radiational cooling—support these ranges, while slight model differences in cloud cover and frontal positioning create the observed uncertainty between 76–77°F and 82–83°F outcomes. With resolution occurring within hours, any last model run or observational update could shift the final reading within the narrow 74–85°F window that holds over 90% of market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$123วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service are driving the tight clustering around 78–81°F lows for Miami on August 25, with traders assigning 28.5% and 26.0% implied probabilities to the two leading bins. Typical late-summer patterns—high humidity, light winds, and limited overnight radiational cooling—support these ranges, while slight model differences in cloud cover and frontal positioning create the observed uncertainty between 76–77°F and 82–83°F outcomes. With resolution occurring within hours, any last model run or observational update could shift the final reading within the narrow 74–85°F window that holds over 90% of market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$123วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service are driving the tight clustering around 78–81°F lows for Miami on August 25, with traders assigning 28.5% and 26.0% implied probabilities to the two leading bins. Typical late-summer patterns—high humidity, light winds, and limited overnight radiational cooling—support these ranges, while slight model differences in cloud cover and frontal positioning create the observed uncertainty between 76–77°F and 82–83°F outcomes. With resolution occurring within hours, any last model run or observational update could shift the final reading within the narrow 74–85°F window that holds over 90% of market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย