Forecast models from European agencies show the minimum temperature in Paris on August 19 centering on 18–19 °C, with market-implied odds clustering there because ensemble runs display only modest spread from light winds, variable overnight cloud cover, and a stable high-pressure ridge. No major frontal systems or significant moisture advection are projected to alter radiative cooling, keeping guidance steady over the past 48 hours. This aligns with late-summer climatology while urban heat-island effects and model resolution differences introduce the remaining uncertainty; fresh runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether any small downward revisions push probabilities toward 17 °C or hold the current distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 19?
19°C 36%
18°C 29%
17°C 16%
20°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
29%
19°C
36%
20°C
15%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 36%
18°C 29%
17°C 16%
20°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
13°C or below
$79 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$79 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$214 ปริมาณ
3%
16°C
$311 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$270 ปริมาณ
16%
18°C
$255 ปริมาณ
29%
19°C
$852 ปริมาณ
36%
20°C
$284 ปริมาณ
15%
21°C
$1,064 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$84 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C or higher
$110 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European agencies show the minimum temperature in Paris on August 19 centering on 18–19 °C, with market-implied odds clustering there because ensemble runs display only modest spread from light winds, variable overnight cloud cover, and a stable high-pressure ridge. No major frontal systems or significant moisture advection are projected to alter radiative cooling, keeping guidance steady over the past 48 hours. This aligns with late-summer climatology while urban heat-island effects and model resolution differences introduce the remaining uncertainty; fresh runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether any small downward revisions push probabilities toward 17 °C or hold the current distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,603วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European agencies show the minimum temperature in Paris on August 19 centering on 18–19 °C, with market-implied odds clustering there because ensemble runs display only modest spread from light winds, variable overnight cloud cover, and a stable high-pressure ridge. No major frontal systems or significant moisture advection are projected to alter radiative cooling, keeping guidance steady over the past 48 hours. This aligns with late-summer climatology while urban heat-island effects and model resolution differences introduce the remaining uncertainty; fresh runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether any small downward revisions push probabilities toward 17 °C or hold the current distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,603วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European agencies show the minimum temperature in Paris on August 19 centering on 18–19 °C, with market-implied odds clustering there because ensemble runs display only modest spread from light winds, variable overnight cloud cover, and a stable high-pressure ridge. No major frontal systems or significant moisture advection are projected to alter radiative cooling, keeping guidance steady over the past 48 hours. This aligns with late-summer climatology while urban heat-island effects and model resolution differences introduce the remaining uncertainty; fresh runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether any small downward revisions push probabilities toward 17 °C or hold the current distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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