Recent model consensus from Météo-France, Met Office, and BBC guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Paris on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, following the mid-month heatwave. These conditions favor modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover preventing sharper drops. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19°C (50%) and 18°C (31%), reflecting the narrow forecast spread and typical August climatology of 15–18°C lows. Updated runs showing slightly stronger maritime air advection or clearer skies could shift emphasis toward the lower end before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 18?
19°C 70%
20°C 39%
18°C 13%
21°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
33%
19°C
51%
20°C
31%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 70%
20°C 39%
18°C 13%
21°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
$569 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$341 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$543 ปริมาณ
5%
18°C
$910 ปริมาณ
33%
19°C
$1,093 ปริมาณ
51%
20°C
$356 ปริมาณ
31%
21°C
$323 ปริมาณ
6%
22°C
$145 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$320 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$910 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$966 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France, Met Office, and BBC guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Paris on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, following the mid-month heatwave. These conditions favor modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover preventing sharper drops. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19°C (50%) and 18°C (31%), reflecting the narrow forecast spread and typical August climatology of 15–18°C lows. Updated runs showing slightly stronger maritime air advection or clearer skies could shift emphasis toward the lower end before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,476วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France, Met Office, and BBC guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Paris on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, following the mid-month heatwave. These conditions favor modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover preventing sharper drops. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19°C (50%) and 18°C (31%), reflecting the narrow forecast spread and typical August climatology of 15–18°C lows. Updated runs showing slightly stronger maritime air advection or clearer skies could shift emphasis toward the lower end before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,476วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France, Met Office, and BBC guidance points to overnight lows of 18–20°C in Paris on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, following the mid-month heatwave. These conditions favor modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover preventing sharper drops. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 19°C (50%) and 18°C (31%), reflecting the narrow forecast spread and typical August climatology of 15–18°C lows. Updated runs showing slightly stronger maritime air advection or clearer skies could shift emphasis toward the lower end before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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