Recent forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a mild overnight low for Moscow on September 15, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow and limited advection of colder Arctic air masses. Current runs project minimum temperatures near 8–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 8°C for mid-September. This setup, combined with stable high pressure and no incoming cold front through the 48-hour window, underpins trader consensus favoring the 13°C-or-higher bucket at 47% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain possible only if models trend cooler with revised boundary-layer cooling. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 15?
13°C or higher 94%
4°C 40%
5°C 21%
6°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
3°C or below
1%
4°C
40%
5°C
21%
6°C
21%
7°C
21%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C or higher
94%
13°C or higher 94%
4°C 40%
5°C 21%
6°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
3°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
4°C
$10 ปริมาณ
40%
5°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
13°C or higher
$72 ปริมาณ
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a mild overnight low for Moscow on September 15, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow and limited advection of colder Arctic air masses. Current runs project minimum temperatures near 8–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 8°C for mid-September. This setup, combined with stable high pressure and no incoming cold front through the 48-hour window, underpins trader consensus favoring the 13°C-or-higher bucket at 47% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain possible only if models trend cooler with revised boundary-layer cooling. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a mild overnight low for Moscow on September 15, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow and limited advection of colder Arctic air masses. Current runs project minimum temperatures near 8–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 8°C for mid-September. This setup, combined with stable high pressure and no incoming cold front through the 48-hour window, underpins trader consensus favoring the 13°C-or-higher bucket at 47% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain possible only if models trend cooler with revised boundary-layer cooling. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles indicate a mild overnight low for Moscow on September 15, driven by persistent westerly to northwesterly flow and limited advection of colder Arctic air masses. Current runs project minimum temperatures near 8–11°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of about 8°C for mid-September. This setup, combined with stable high pressure and no incoming cold front through the 48-hour window, underpins trader consensus favoring the 13°C-or-higher bucket at 47% implied probability, while lower outcomes remain possible only if models trend cooler with revised boundary-layer cooling. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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