Forecast consensus from official and model sources positions a daily high of 26–27°C as the most likely outcome for Toronto on September 13, 2026, consistent with current market-implied probabilities. Southwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions under a lingering warm air mass support afternoon peaks near 25–26°C, with limited moisture keeping intensification modest. Recent GFS runs and station observations show morning temperatures in the low 20s°C rising steadily, aligning with the 45.5% probability on 27°C and 33.5% on 26°C. Historical averages for the date hover near 22.6°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth without extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh these stable model trends against minor risks of showers or slight model spread that could shift the observed maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on September 13?
27°C 47%
26°C 30%
28°C 13%
25°C 7%
$15,940 ปริมาณ
$15,940 ปริมาณ
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
47%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
2%
27°C 47%
26°C 30%
28°C 13%
25°C 7%
$15,940 ปริมาณ
$15,940 ปริมาณ
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
47%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from official and model sources positions a daily high of 26–27°C as the most likely outcome for Toronto on September 13, 2026, consistent with current market-implied probabilities. Southwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions under a lingering warm air mass support afternoon peaks near 25–26°C, with limited moisture keeping intensification modest. Recent GFS runs and station observations show morning temperatures in the low 20s°C rising steadily, aligning with the 45.5% probability on 27°C and 33.5% on 26°C. Historical averages for the date hover near 22.6°C, so the current setup reflects above-normal warmth without extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh these stable model trends against minor risks of showers or slight model spread that could shift the observed maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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