Current forecast models indicate Beijing's highest temperature on September 13 will peak near 30°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity levels around 15-30%, driven by high pressure and strong solar insolation typical of early autumn subsidence patterns. Multiple sources, including GFS-derived outlooks and observations, show afternoon readings climbing to 29-30°C with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate warming, consistent with slightly above-average conditions for the date. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 30°C (56%) and 31°C (32%), reflecting model consensus on this narrow range while assigning low probability to outliers, as no incoming fronts or significant variability appear in the latest runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
30°C 42%
31°C 41%
29°C 10%
32°C 2%
$41,932 ปริมาณ
$41,932 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
10%
30°C
42%
31°C
41%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 42%
31°C 41%
29°C 10%
32°C 2%
$41,932 ปริมาณ
$41,932 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
24°C or below
$73 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$339 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$661 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,080 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$8,303 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$7,656 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$4,394 ปริมาณ
42%
31°C
$10,992 ปริมาณ
41%
32°C
$5,075 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$2,597 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$761 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Beijing's highest temperature on September 13 will peak near 30°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity levels around 15-30%, driven by high pressure and strong solar insolation typical of early autumn subsidence patterns. Multiple sources, including GFS-derived outlooks and observations, show afternoon readings climbing to 29-30°C with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate warming, consistent with slightly above-average conditions for the date. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 30°C (56%) and 31°C (32%), reflecting model consensus on this narrow range while assigning low probability to outliers, as no incoming fronts or significant variability appear in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,932วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Beijing's highest temperature on September 13 will peak near 30°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity levels around 15-30%, driven by high pressure and strong solar insolation typical of early autumn subsidence patterns. Multiple sources, including GFS-derived outlooks and observations, show afternoon readings climbing to 29-30°C with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate warming, consistent with slightly above-average conditions for the date. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 30°C (56%) and 31°C (32%), reflecting model consensus on this narrow range while assigning low probability to outliers, as no incoming fronts or significant variability appear in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,932วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Beijing's highest temperature on September 13 will peak near 30°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and low humidity levels around 15-30%, driven by high pressure and strong solar insolation typical of early autumn subsidence patterns. Multiple sources, including GFS-derived outlooks and observations, show afternoon readings climbing to 29-30°C with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate warming, consistent with slightly above-average conditions for the date. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 30°C (56%) and 31°C (32%), reflecting model consensus on this narrow range while assigning low probability to outliers, as no incoming fronts or significant variability appear in the latest runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย