Latest forecast models from sources including the Met Office, AccuWeather, and global numerical guidance indicate a high of 26–28 °C in Beijing on September 14 under clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities on 27 °C (50.5 %) and 28 °C (26.5 %). A stable high-pressure ridge and dry continental air mass are limiting cloud cover and moisture, producing typical early-autumn daytime heating near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26.7 °C. Recent observations from September 13 showed highs near 29 °C, supporting expectations of only modest cooling. Official station data released after the close of September 14 will determine resolution, with minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns reducing forecast uncertainty in the short term.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
27°C 51%
28°C 29%
26°C 10%
29°C 7%
$10,524 ปริมาณ
$10,524 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
51%
28°C
29%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 29%
26°C 10%
29°C 7%
$10,524 ปริมาณ
$10,524 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
51%
28°C
29%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including the Met Office, AccuWeather, and global numerical guidance indicate a high of 26–28 °C in Beijing on September 14 under clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities on 27 °C (50.5 %) and 28 °C (26.5 %). A stable high-pressure ridge and dry continental air mass are limiting cloud cover and moisture, producing typical early-autumn daytime heating near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26.7 °C. Recent observations from September 13 showed highs near 29 °C, supporting expectations of only modest cooling. Official station data released after the close of September 14 will determine resolution, with minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns reducing forecast uncertainty in the short term.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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