Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 21°C for Toronto on September 14 under sunny skies and northwesterly flow, following a cold frontal passage that has introduced drier, cooler air masses. This setup favors afternoon maxima clustering around 19–21°C, consistent with historical late-summer climatology and the absence of strong southerly advection or cloud cover that could alter radiative heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 20°C, incorporates minor model spread on peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with lower odds on 22°C or above underscoring limited warming potential before resolution. Updated guidance and observational data from the National Weather Service and Canadian meteorological agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
20°C 49%
19°C 28%
21°C 15%
22°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
28%
20°C
49%
21°C
15%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
20°C 49%
19°C 28%
21°C 15%
22°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$2 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$122 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$455 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$937 ปริมาณ
28%
20°C
$689 ปริมาณ
49%
21°C
$636 ปริมาณ
15%
22°C
$464 ปริมาณ
5%
23°C
$24 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 21°C for Toronto on September 14 under sunny skies and northwesterly flow, following a cold frontal passage that has introduced drier, cooler air masses. This setup favors afternoon maxima clustering around 19–21°C, consistent with historical late-summer climatology and the absence of strong southerly advection or cloud cover that could alter radiative heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 20°C, incorporates minor model spread on peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with lower odds on 22°C or above underscoring limited warming potential before resolution. Updated guidance and observational data from the National Weather Service and Canadian meteorological agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,786วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 21°C for Toronto on September 14 under sunny skies and northwesterly flow, following a cold frontal passage that has introduced drier, cooler air masses. This setup favors afternoon maxima clustering around 19–21°C, consistent with historical late-summer climatology and the absence of strong southerly advection or cloud cover that could alter radiative heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 20°C, incorporates minor model spread on peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with lower odds on 22°C or above underscoring limited warming potential before resolution. Updated guidance and observational data from the National Weather Service and Canadian meteorological agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,786วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 21°C for Toronto on September 14 under sunny skies and northwesterly flow, following a cold frontal passage that has introduced drier, cooler air masses. This setup favors afternoon maxima clustering around 19–21°C, consistent with historical late-summer climatology and the absence of strong southerly advection or cloud cover that could alter radiative heating. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 20°C, incorporates minor model spread on peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with lower odds on 22°C or above underscoring limited warming potential before resolution. Updated guidance and observational data from the National Weather Service and Canadian meteorological agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย