Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data points to a daily minimum temperature near 9–10°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds of 5–8 mph and stable high pressure around 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors gradual overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs of 17–19°C, aligning with typical mid-September climatology where Moscow lows average 7–11°C. The balanced market-implied odds between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes reflect lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and any subtle frontal influences that could alter the exact minimum by 2–3°C, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 14?
5°C or below 81%
15°C or higher 80%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
5°C or below
81%
6°C
40%
7°C
24%
8°C
25%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
80%
5°C or below 81%
15°C or higher 80%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
5°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
81%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
15°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data points to a daily minimum temperature near 9–10°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds of 5–8 mph and stable high pressure around 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors gradual overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs of 17–19°C, aligning with typical mid-September climatology where Moscow lows average 7–11°C. The balanced market-implied odds between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes reflect lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and any subtle frontal influences that could alter the exact minimum by 2–3°C, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data points to a daily minimum temperature near 9–10°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds of 5–8 mph and stable high pressure around 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors gradual overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs of 17–19°C, aligning with typical mid-September climatology where Moscow lows average 7–11°C. The balanced market-implied odds between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes reflect lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and any subtle frontal influences that could alter the exact minimum by 2–3°C, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS data points to a daily minimum temperature near 9–10°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds of 5–8 mph and stable high pressure around 1015–1020 hPa. This setup favors gradual overnight radiational cooling after daytime highs of 17–19°C, aligning with typical mid-September climatology where Moscow lows average 7–11°C. The balanced market-implied odds between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes reflect lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and any subtle frontal influences that could alter the exact minimum by 2–3°C, with updated model runs and official briefings expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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