A developing cut-off low pressure system west of South Africa is the main driver shaping trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 13 high, delivering increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderating winds that cap afternoon warming. Official guidance and model consensus point to a peak near 21–24 °C, with any brief clearing or delayed precipitation the key variable that could push readings toward 25 °C or hold them at 22 °C. Spring climatology places the September average high around 19–20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly tempered by the system’s arrival; traders appear to weigh the timing of showers and southeasterly flow most heavily, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 22–25 °C range. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will be the next decisive inputs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
23°C 32%
24°C 30%
22°C 19%
25°C 12%
$16,319 ปริมาณ
$16,319 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
19%
23°C
32%
24°C
30%
25°C
12%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 32%
24°C 30%
22°C 19%
25°C 12%
$16,319 ปริมาณ
$16,319 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
$1,384 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$1,106 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$2,217 ปริมาณ
8%
22°C
$2,199 ปริมาณ
19%
23°C
$1,161 ปริมาณ
32%
24°C
$1,528 ปริมาณ
30%
25°C
$1,907 ปริมาณ
12%
26°C
$1,873 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$505 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$404 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C or higher
$2,035 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A developing cut-off low pressure system west of South Africa is the main driver shaping trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 13 high, delivering increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderating winds that cap afternoon warming. Official guidance and model consensus point to a peak near 21–24 °C, with any brief clearing or delayed precipitation the key variable that could push readings toward 25 °C or hold them at 22 °C. Spring climatology places the September average high around 19–20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly tempered by the system’s arrival; traders appear to weigh the timing of showers and southeasterly flow most heavily, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 22–25 °C range. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will be the next decisive inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,319วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A developing cut-off low pressure system west of South Africa is the main driver shaping trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 13 high, delivering increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderating winds that cap afternoon warming. Official guidance and model consensus point to a peak near 21–24 °C, with any brief clearing or delayed precipitation the key variable that could push readings toward 25 °C or hold them at 22 °C. Spring climatology places the September average high around 19–20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly tempered by the system’s arrival; traders appear to weigh the timing of showers and southeasterly flow most heavily, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 22–25 °C range. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will be the next decisive inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,319วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A developing cut-off low pressure system west of South Africa is the main driver shaping trader positioning for Cape Town’s September 13 high, delivering increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderating winds that cap afternoon warming. Official guidance and model consensus point to a peak near 21–24 °C, with any brief clearing or delayed precipitation the key variable that could push readings toward 25 °C or hold them at 22 °C. Spring climatology places the September average high around 19–20 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly tempered by the system’s arrival; traders appear to weigh the timing of showers and southeasterly flow most heavily, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 22–25 °C range. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will be the next decisive inputs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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