Official forecasts from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate a daily maximum near 38–39°C for Karachi on September 13, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with west to southwest winds of 5–10 m/s and humidity around 50–60%. This positions 39°C as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus peak before any late-day cooling or scattered moisture from a distant monsoon low. The 31.5% odds on 40°C and 12% on 41°C or higher capture residual uncertainty from model spread and urban heat-island effects, while probabilities below 38°C remain negligible given observed midday readings already approaching 36°C and climatological September averages. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from Karachi’s primary station, with any upward revision in afternoon guidance likely to shift marginal probability toward the higher brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on September 13?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 13?
39°C 74%
40°C 31%
41°C or higher 12%
31°C or below <1%
$26,366 ปริมาณ
$26,366 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
64%
40°C
31%
41°C or higher
12%
39°C 74%
40°C 31%
41°C or higher 12%
31°C or below <1%
$26,366 ปริมาณ
$26,366 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
31°C or below
$1,088 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$712 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$3,520 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$1,676 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$1,280 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$1,987 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$4,932 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$2,564 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$2,581 ปริมาณ
64%
40°C
$3,852 ปริมาณ
31%
41°C or higher
$2,173 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate a daily maximum near 38–39°C for Karachi on September 13, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with west to southwest winds of 5–10 m/s and humidity around 50–60%. This positions 39°C as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus peak before any late-day cooling or scattered moisture from a distant monsoon low. The 31.5% odds on 40°C and 12% on 41°C or higher capture residual uncertainty from model spread and urban heat-island effects, while probabilities below 38°C remain negligible given observed midday readings already approaching 36°C and climatological September averages. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from Karachi’s primary station, with any upward revision in afternoon guidance likely to shift marginal probability toward the higher brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,366วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate a daily maximum near 38–39°C for Karachi on September 13, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with west to southwest winds of 5–10 m/s and humidity around 50–60%. This positions 39°C as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus peak before any late-day cooling or scattered moisture from a distant monsoon low. The 31.5% odds on 40°C and 12% on 41°C or higher capture residual uncertainty from model spread and urban heat-island effects, while probabilities below 38°C remain negligible given observed midday readings already approaching 36°C and climatological September averages. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from Karachi’s primary station, with any upward revision in afternoon guidance likely to shift marginal probability toward the higher brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,366วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models indicate a daily maximum near 38–39°C for Karachi on September 13, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with west to southwest winds of 5–10 m/s and humidity around 50–60%. This positions 39°C as the market leader at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus peak before any late-day cooling or scattered moisture from a distant monsoon low. The 31.5% odds on 40°C and 12% on 41°C or higher capture residual uncertainty from model spread and urban heat-island effects, while probabilities below 38°C remain negligible given observed midday readings already approaching 36°C and climatological September averages. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from Karachi’s primary station, with any upward revision in afternoon guidance likely to shift marginal probability toward the higher brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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