A low-pressure system tracking westward from the Bay of Bengal is the main driver shaping odds, with official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and multiple models indicating light rain or thunderstorms possible in Karachi on September 14 that could limit afternoon heating. Current forecasts show daytime maxima ranging from the mid-30s to around 40 °C depending on cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, and wind patterns, creating uncertainty around whether the peak reaches or exceeds 39 °C. Historical September baselines for the city hover near 32–34 °C, so the elevated readings implied by the leading 39 °C or higher outcome reflect the lingering pre-monsoon heat before the system arrives. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on September 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 14?
39°C or higher 40%
38°C 24%
37°C 22%
36°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
3%
36°C
13%
37°C
22%
38°C
24%
39°C or higher
40%
39°C or higher 40%
38°C 24%
37°C 22%
36°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
29°C or below
$137 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$199 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$199 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$357 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$705 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$769 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$395 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$1,182 ปริมาณ
13%
37°C
$563 ปริมาณ
22%
38°C
$567 ปริมาณ
24%
39°C or higher
$1,750 ปริมาณ
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A low-pressure system tracking westward from the Bay of Bengal is the main driver shaping odds, with official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and multiple models indicating light rain or thunderstorms possible in Karachi on September 14 that could limit afternoon heating. Current forecasts show daytime maxima ranging from the mid-30s to around 40 °C depending on cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, and wind patterns, creating uncertainty around whether the peak reaches or exceeds 39 °C. Historical September baselines for the city hover near 32–34 °C, so the elevated readings implied by the leading 39 °C or higher outcome reflect the lingering pre-monsoon heat before the system arrives. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,825วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A low-pressure system tracking westward from the Bay of Bengal is the main driver shaping odds, with official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and multiple models indicating light rain or thunderstorms possible in Karachi on September 14 that could limit afternoon heating. Current forecasts show daytime maxima ranging from the mid-30s to around 40 °C depending on cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, and wind patterns, creating uncertainty around whether the peak reaches or exceeds 39 °C. Historical September baselines for the city hover near 32–34 °C, so the elevated readings implied by the leading 39 °C or higher outcome reflect the lingering pre-monsoon heat before the system arrives. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,825วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A low-pressure system tracking westward from the Bay of Bengal is the main driver shaping odds, with official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and multiple models indicating light rain or thunderstorms possible in Karachi on September 14 that could limit afternoon heating. Current forecasts show daytime maxima ranging from the mid-30s to around 40 °C depending on cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, and wind patterns, creating uncertainty around whether the peak reaches or exceeds 39 °C. Historical September baselines for the city hover near 32–34 °C, so the elevated readings implied by the leading 39 °C or higher outcome reflect the lingering pre-monsoon heat before the system arrives. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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