Recent forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international services indicate showers and easterly winds moderating Taipei's maximum temperature on September 14 to the 29–31°C range, following hotter conditions near 32–34°C on September 13. This shift aligns with increasing cloud cover and precipitation probabilities exceeding 60% in multiple runs, which typically suppress peak daytime heating in the region during September. Market-implied odds favor 32°C as the mode at 45%, reflecting uncertainty in exact model consensus and potential for localized variations in urban heat or brief clear spells, while lower outcomes like 31°C gain support from the expected rain-cooled boundary layer. Historical September baselines around 30–32°C provide context for these probabilities amid evolving steering patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
32°C 44%
33°C 22%
31°C 18%
30°C 6%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
44%
33°C
22%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
33°C 22%
31°C 18%
30°C 6%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
44%
33°C
22%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Central Weather Administration and international services indicate showers and easterly winds moderating Taipei's maximum temperature on September 14 to the 29–31°C range, following hotter conditions near 32–34°C on September 13. This shift aligns with increasing cloud cover and precipitation probabilities exceeding 60% in multiple runs, which typically suppress peak daytime heating in the region during September. Market-implied odds favor 32°C as the mode at 45%, reflecting uncertainty in exact model consensus and potential for localized variations in urban heat or brief clear spells, while lower outcomes like 31°C gain support from the expected rain-cooled boundary layer. Historical September baselines around 30–32°C provide context for these probabilities amid evolving steering patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย