Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the GFS point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler air and partly cloudy skies limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after September highs near 24–25°C, under stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk for 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies, while downside to 25°C remains possible with stronger winds or persistent cloud cover. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
26°C 51%
25°C 22%
27°C 20%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
$14,454 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,454 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
22%
26°C
51%
27°C
20%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 22%
27°C 20%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
$14,454 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,454 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$538 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,800 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$740 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$890 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$1,926 ปริมาณ
9%
25°C
$2,584 ปริมาณ
22%
26°C
$2,762 ปริมาณ
51%
27°C
$2,117 ปริมาณ
20%
28°C
$787 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$233 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$77 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the GFS point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler air and partly cloudy skies limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after September highs near 24–25°C, under stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk for 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies, while downside to 25°C remains possible with stronger winds or persistent cloud cover. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,454วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the GFS point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler air and partly cloudy skies limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after September highs near 24–25°C, under stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk for 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies, while downside to 25°C remains possible with stronger winds or persistent cloud cover. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,454วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the GFS point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler air and partly cloudy skies limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after September highs near 24–25°C, under stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk for 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies, while downside to 25°C remains possible with stronger winds or persistent cloud cover. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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