Current forecasts from global models indicate Tokyo's September 14 high will reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds promoting warm advection and limited daytime cloud cover. This setup favors peak readings near 30°C, consistent with trader-implied odds of 51% for 30°C, 24% for 29°C, and 17% for 31°C. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 27°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from stable high pressure and minimal precipitation during peak heating hours. Model consensus remains tight, though minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or wind gusts could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
30°C 50%
29°C 24%
31°C 15%
28°C 8%
ใหม่
$11,005 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,005 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
24%
30°C
50%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 24%
31°C 15%
28°C 8%
ใหม่
$11,005 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,005 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
$1,976 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$379 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$401 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$576 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$1,617 ปริมาณ
24%
30°C
$1,317 ปริมาณ
50%
31°C
$2,989 ปริมาณ
15%
32°C
$454 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$267 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$335 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$693 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models indicate Tokyo's September 14 high will reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds promoting warm advection and limited daytime cloud cover. This setup favors peak readings near 30°C, consistent with trader-implied odds of 51% for 30°C, 24% for 29°C, and 17% for 31°C. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 27°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from stable high pressure and minimal precipitation during peak heating hours. Model consensus remains tight, though minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or wind gusts could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,005วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models indicate Tokyo's September 14 high will reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds promoting warm advection and limited daytime cloud cover. This setup favors peak readings near 30°C, consistent with trader-implied odds of 51% for 30°C, 24% for 29°C, and 17% for 31°C. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 27°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from stable high pressure and minimal precipitation during peak heating hours. Model consensus remains tight, though minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or wind gusts could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,005วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models indicate Tokyo's September 14 high will reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds promoting warm advection and limited daytime cloud cover. This setup favors peak readings near 30°C, consistent with trader-implied odds of 51% for 30°C, 24% for 29°C, and 17% for 31°C. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 27°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from stable high pressure and minimal precipitation during peak heating hours. Model consensus remains tight, though minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or wind gusts could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย