Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and model consensus place Mexico City’s overnight low on August 30, 2026, in the 12–14 °C range, with localized readings potentially dipping to 10–11 °C in higher-elevation or clearer-sky districts. High-altitude radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity from the rainy season, and light winds are the dominant factors limiting further drops, while scattered showers and fog banks in western boroughs introduce minor downward variability. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these thresholds, explaining the tight market spread among 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C resolutions and the near-zero odds assigned to extremes below 9 °C or above 13 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
12°C 52%
10°C 43%
11°C 43%
8°C <1%
$820 ปริมาณ
$820 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
43%
11°C
43%
12°C
52%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 52%
10°C 43%
11°C 43%
8°C <1%
$820 ปริมาณ
$820 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$28 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$80 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$4 ปริมาณ
43%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
12°C
$78 ปริมาณ
52%
13°C
$124 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$128 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$164 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C or higher
$148 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and model consensus place Mexico City’s overnight low on August 30, 2026, in the 12–14 °C range, with localized readings potentially dipping to 10–11 °C in higher-elevation or clearer-sky districts. High-altitude radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity from the rainy season, and light winds are the dominant factors limiting further drops, while scattered showers and fog banks in western boroughs introduce minor downward variability. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these thresholds, explaining the tight market spread among 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C resolutions and the near-zero odds assigned to extremes below 9 °C or above 13 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$820วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and model consensus place Mexico City’s overnight low on August 30, 2026, in the 12–14 °C range, with localized readings potentially dipping to 10–11 °C in higher-elevation or clearer-sky districts. High-altitude radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity from the rainy season, and light winds are the dominant factors limiting further drops, while scattered showers and fog banks in western boroughs introduce minor downward variability. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these thresholds, explaining the tight market spread among 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C resolutions and the near-zero odds assigned to extremes below 9 °C or above 13 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$820วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and model consensus place Mexico City’s overnight low on August 30, 2026, in the 12–14 °C range, with localized readings potentially dipping to 10–11 °C in higher-elevation or clearer-sky districts. High-altitude radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, elevated humidity from the rainy season, and light winds are the dominant factors limiting further drops, while scattered showers and fog banks in western boroughs introduce minor downward variability. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these thresholds, explaining the tight market spread among 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C resolutions and the near-zero odds assigned to extremes below 9 °C or above 13 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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