Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are moderating San Francisco temperatures today, limiting afternoon highs at KSFO despite partly sunny conditions. National Weather Service guidance pegs the daily maximum near 68°F, consistent with August climatology where coastal averages hover around 67–70°F due to upwelling and sea breeze. Recent model runs show minimal warming potential without a stronger offshore pressure gradient, positioning the 70–71°F bracket (39.5% implied probability) ahead of 72–73°F as traders weigh slight forecast variability against historical suppression of extremes. No significant heat advection from inland regions is expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 18?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 18?
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 10%
ใหม่
$11,510 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,510 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
67°F or below
6%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 10%
ใหม่
$11,510 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,510 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
67°F or below
$1,497 ปริมาณ
6%
68-69°F
$820 ปริมาณ
16%
70-71°F
$2,430 ปริมาณ
40%
72-73°F
$924 ปริมาณ
29%
74-75°F
$780 ปริมาณ
10%
76-77°F
$1,955 ปริมาณ
2%
78-79°F
$1,298 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$666 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$536 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$502 ปริมาณ
<1%
86°F or higher
$110 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are moderating San Francisco temperatures today, limiting afternoon highs at KSFO despite partly sunny conditions. National Weather Service guidance pegs the daily maximum near 68°F, consistent with August climatology where coastal averages hover around 67–70°F due to upwelling and sea breeze. Recent model runs show minimal warming potential without a stronger offshore pressure gradient, positioning the 70–71°F bracket (39.5% implied probability) ahead of 72–73°F as traders weigh slight forecast variability against historical suppression of extremes. No significant heat advection from inland regions is expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,510วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are moderating San Francisco temperatures today, limiting afternoon highs at KSFO despite partly sunny conditions. National Weather Service guidance pegs the daily maximum near 68°F, consistent with August climatology where coastal averages hover around 67–70°F due to upwelling and sea breeze. Recent model runs show minimal warming potential without a stronger offshore pressure gradient, positioning the 70–71°F bracket (39.5% implied probability) ahead of 72–73°F as traders weigh slight forecast variability against historical suppression of extremes. No significant heat advection from inland regions is expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,510วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are moderating San Francisco temperatures today, limiting afternoon highs at KSFO despite partly sunny conditions. National Weather Service guidance pegs the daily maximum near 68°F, consistent with August climatology where coastal averages hover around 67–70°F due to upwelling and sea breeze. Recent model runs show minimal warming potential without a stronger offshore pressure gradient, positioning the 70–71°F bracket (39.5% implied probability) ahead of 72–73°F as traders weigh slight forecast variability against historical suppression of extremes. No significant heat advection from inland regions is expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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