National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on August 18 point to a high near 78°F at coastal stations like LAX, with the marine layer and afternoon sea breeze limiting warming despite slightly warmer guidance for downtown areas around 84°F. This positioning aligns with the market's strong 58.5% implied probability on the 78-79°F bracket, as traders weigh official station readings against typical August climatology where the Pacific influence caps coastal maxima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows minimal inland penetration of heat today, though slight variations in boundary layer mixing could shift the official high into the low 80s. Resolution hinges on the day's peak observation, with no major synoptic changes expected before close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 18?
78-79°F 59%
80-81°F 19%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 3%
ใหม่
$10,802 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,802 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
59%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 59%
80-81°F 19%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 3%
ใหม่
$10,802 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,802 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
$207 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$314 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$542 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$1,190 ปริมาณ
19%
78-79°F
$2,720 ปริมาณ
59%
80-81°F
$3,846 ปริมาณ
19%
82-83°F
$747 ปริมาณ
3%
84-85°F
$319 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$373 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$225 ปริมาณ
<1%
90°F or higher
$320 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on August 18 point to a high near 78°F at coastal stations like LAX, with the marine layer and afternoon sea breeze limiting warming despite slightly warmer guidance for downtown areas around 84°F. This positioning aligns with the market's strong 58.5% implied probability on the 78-79°F bracket, as traders weigh official station readings against typical August climatology where the Pacific influence caps coastal maxima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows minimal inland penetration of heat today, though slight variations in boundary layer mixing could shift the official high into the low 80s. Resolution hinges on the day's peak observation, with no major synoptic changes expected before close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,802วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on August 18 point to a high near 78°F at coastal stations like LAX, with the marine layer and afternoon sea breeze limiting warming despite slightly warmer guidance for downtown areas around 84°F. This positioning aligns with the market's strong 58.5% implied probability on the 78-79°F bracket, as traders weigh official station readings against typical August climatology where the Pacific influence caps coastal maxima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows minimal inland penetration of heat today, though slight variations in boundary layer mixing could shift the official high into the low 80s. Resolution hinges on the day's peak observation, with no major synoptic changes expected before close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,802วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on August 18 point to a high near 78°F at coastal stations like LAX, with the marine layer and afternoon sea breeze limiting warming despite slightly warmer guidance for downtown areas around 84°F. This positioning aligns with the market's strong 58.5% implied probability on the 78-79°F bracket, as traders weigh official station readings against typical August climatology where the Pacific influence caps coastal maxima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows minimal inland penetration of heat today, though slight variations in boundary layer mixing could shift the official high into the low 80s. Resolution hinges on the day's peak observation, with no major synoptic changes expected before close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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