Recent forecasts from European meteorological models point to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers over Warsaw on August 19, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 20–22 °C at the Chopin Airport station used for market resolution. Light winds and high cloud cover reduce daytime insolation compared with clearer August conditions that routinely allow 23–25 °C peaks. This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration on 21 °C (45.5 %), 20 °C (27.5 %), and 22 °C (19 %), as traders weigh model consensus against the small chance of partial clearing that could nudge temperatures slightly higher. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will provide the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 19?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 19?
21°C 45%
20°C 28%
22°C 19%
19°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
28%
21°C
45%
22°C
19%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 45%
20°C 28%
22°C 19%
19°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
14°C or below
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$176 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$247 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$447 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$406 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$739 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C
$535 ปริมาณ
28%
21°C
$515 ปริมาณ
45%
22°C
$1,456 ปริมาณ
19%
23°C
$298 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C or higher
$191 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models point to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers over Warsaw on August 19, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 20–22 °C at the Chopin Airport station used for market resolution. Light winds and high cloud cover reduce daytime insolation compared with clearer August conditions that routinely allow 23–25 °C peaks. This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration on 21 °C (45.5 %), 20 °C (27.5 %), and 22 °C (19 %), as traders weigh model consensus against the small chance of partial clearing that could nudge temperatures slightly higher. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,202วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models point to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers over Warsaw on August 19, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 20–22 °C at the Chopin Airport station used for market resolution. Light winds and high cloud cover reduce daytime insolation compared with clearer August conditions that routinely allow 23–25 °C peaks. This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration on 21 °C (45.5 %), 20 °C (27.5 %), and 22 °C (19 %), as traders weigh model consensus against the small chance of partial clearing that could nudge temperatures slightly higher. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,202วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models point to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers over Warsaw on August 19, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 20–22 °C at the Chopin Airport station used for market resolution. Light winds and high cloud cover reduce daytime insolation compared with clearer August conditions that routinely allow 23–25 °C peaks. This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration on 21 °C (45.5 %), 20 °C (27.5 %), and 22 °C (19 %), as traders weigh model consensus against the small chance of partial clearing that could nudge temperatures slightly higher. Updated runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will provide the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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